Author: James H. Fowler; Seth J. Hill; Nick Obradovich; Remy Levin
Title: The Effect of Stay-at-Home Orders on COVID-19 Infections in the United States Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: 4s8unfnk_28
Snippet: Moreover, consider this: the median date a stay-in-place order was issued for counties in the United States was March 30, a full 17 days after the national emergency was declared. Our coefficient estimates suggest that acting 17 days earlier in each county in the United States would have reduced new infections by 63.2%. It is thus highly likely that a nationwide order would have reduced the number of infections by hundreds of thousands. And with .....
Document: Moreover, consider this: the median date a stay-in-place order was issued for counties in the United States was March 30, a full 17 days after the national emergency was declared. Our coefficient estimates suggest that acting 17 days earlier in each county in the United States would have reduced new infections by 63.2%. It is thus highly likely that a nationwide order would have reduced the number of infections by hundreds of thousands. And with the confirmed case fatality rate as of April 17 at 5.0% (33,284 deaths / 671,331 confirmed cases) in the United States, 3 it is possible that such an order could have also prevented tens of thousands of deaths.
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