Author: James H. Fowler; Seth J. Hill; Nick Obradovich; Remy Levin
Title: The Effect of Stay-at-Home Orders on COVID-19 Infections in the United States Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: 4s8unfnk_35
Snippet: One final limitation is that we assume the effects of stay-at-home orders between localities are independent, but it is likely that significant spillovers exist. Consider the effect of the epidemic in New York City on neighboring counties in New Jersey, Connecticut, and as far away as Rhode Island. Or the effect of Mardi Gras in Louisiana or Spring Break in Florida on a variety of locales throughout the United States. To the extent these spillove.....
Document: One final limitation is that we assume the effects of stay-at-home orders between localities are independent, but it is likely that significant spillovers exist. Consider the effect of the epidemic in New York City on neighboring counties in New Jersey, Connecticut, and as far away as Rhode Island. Or the effect of Mardi Gras in Louisiana or Spring Break in Florida on a variety of locales throughout the United States. To the extent these spillovers are positive --as seems reasonable to assume --we have likely underestimated the effect of a hypothetical coordinated effort at the national level.
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