Author: M. Pear Hossain; Alvin Junus; Xiaolin Zhu; Pengfei Jia; Tzai-Hung Wen; Dirk Pfeiffer; Hsiang-Yu Yuan
Title: The effects of border control and quarantine measures on global spread of COVID-19 Document date: 2020_3_17
ID: lwe7whmg_58
Snippet: We have learnt from the previous SARS outbreak that it is crucial to implement rapid infection control 304 measures to limit the impact of epidemics, both in terms of preventing more casualties and shortening the 305 epidemic period. Delaying the institution of control measures by 1 week would have nearly tripled the epidemic 306 size and would have increased the expected epidemic duration by 4 weeks [31] . Previous study showed that 307 control .....
Document: We have learnt from the previous SARS outbreak that it is crucial to implement rapid infection control 304 measures to limit the impact of epidemics, both in terms of preventing more casualties and shortening the 305 epidemic period. Delaying the institution of control measures by 1 week would have nearly tripled the epidemic 306 size and would have increased the expected epidemic duration by 4 weeks [31] . Previous study showed that 307 control measures at international cross-borders and screening at borders are influential in mitigating the spread 308 of infectious diseases [32] [33] . Cross-boarder screening system to prevent infectious disease outbreak is 309 important but cannot successfully prevent ill persons during their latent period. imposed. Here the model we constructed can be used to estimate the dynamics of imported and secondary cases 314 using transportation data with different control measurements. The framework can be extended to multiple 315 infected sources to multiple target cities without increasing the complexity of the computation dramatically. 316 Hence, the model proposed in the current study could provide a risk assessment of COVID-19 global spreading 317 in a highly connected world.
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