Author: Christian Dudel; Tim Riffe; Enrique Acosta; Alyson A. van Raalte; Mikko Myrskyla
Title: Monitoring trends and differences in COVID-19 case fatality rates using decomposition methods: Contributions of age structure and age-specific fatality Document date: 2020_4_2
ID: 6ub9yh27_36
Snippet: The trend over time in the Italian CFR is an example where changes in age-specific fatality rates are driving trends instead of changes in the age distribution. This likely reflects the worsening situation in Italy over time as its health care system got under increasing pressure [16, 10] . However, an increase in CFR could also be expected once containment measures become effective, and newly confirmed cases increase at a slower pace than deaths.....
Document: The trend over time in the Italian CFR is an example where changes in age-specific fatality rates are driving trends instead of changes in the age distribution. This likely reflects the worsening situation in Italy over time as its health care system got under increasing pressure [16, 10] . However, an increase in CFR could also be expected once containment measures become effective, and newly confirmed cases increase at a slower pace than deaths from cases acquired prior to containment policies.
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