Author: Alessio Notari
Title: Temperature dependence of COVID-19 transmission Document date: 2020_3_30
ID: 0oma7hdu_3
Snippet: We start our analysis from the empirical observation that the data for the coronavirus disease in many different countries follow a common pattern: once the number of confirmed cases reaches order 10 there is a very rapid subsequent growth, which is well fit by an exponential behavior. The latter is typically a good approximation for the following couple of weeks and, after this stage of free propagation, the exponential growth typically graduall.....
Document: We start our analysis from the empirical observation that the data for the coronavirus disease in many different countries follow a common pattern: once the number of confirmed cases reaches order 10 there is a very rapid subsequent growth, which is well fit by an exponential behavior. The latter is typically a good approximation for the following couple of weeks and, after this stage of free propagation, the exponential growth typically gradually slows down, probably due to other effects, such as: lockdown policies from governments, a higher degree of awareness in the population or the tracking and isolation of the positive cases.
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