Selected article for: "actual number and case number"
Author: Yao Yu Yeo; Yao-Rui Yeo; Wan-Jin Yeo
Title: A Computational Model for Estimating the Progression of COVID-19 Cases in the US West and East Coasts
  • Document date: 2020_3_27
    • ID: 8g64u3ux_40
    Snippet: However, since no other new cases were reported for about two weeks, we assume a starting time of one month later than for the West Coast. In the graphs below, we will still plot them starting from the first reported case in the US (i.e. January 20). For the East Coast, we used a population estimate of 152 million. Based on government actions, we also assume that the starting dates for Phases 2 and 3 are about a week behind that of the West Coast.....
    Document: However, since no other new cases were reported for about two weeks, we assume a starting time of one month later than for the West Coast. In the graphs below, we will still plot them starting from the first reported case in the US (i.e. January 20). For the East Coast, we used a population estimate of 152 million. Based on government actions, we also assume that the starting dates for Phases 2 and 3 are about a week behind that of the West Coast. The simulation results are similar to that of the West Coast; for a quasi-worst-case scenario, the actual number of infections is predicted to be about 400,000 for reported (Fig. 4) , and about 1,450,000 for the actual number of infections (Fig. 5 ).

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