Selected article for: "mathematical model and rapid increase"
Author: Di Domenico, Laura; Sabbatini, Chiara E; Pullano, Giulia; Lévy-Bruhl, Daniel; Colizza, Vittoria
Title: Impact of January 2021 curfew measures on SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 circulation in France
  • Cord-id: 2n87fwgk
  • Document date: 2021_4_15
    • ID: 2n87fwgk
    Snippet: Following the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 variant, social distancing was strengthened in France in January 2021. Using a two-strain mathematical model calibrated on genomic surveillance, we estimated that curfew measures allowed hospitalisations to plateau by decreasing transmission of the historical strains while B.1.1.7 continued to grow. School holidays appear to have further slowed down progression in February. Without progressively strengthened social distancing, a rapid surge of hospi
    Document: Following the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 variant, social distancing was strengthened in France in January 2021. Using a two-strain mathematical model calibrated on genomic surveillance, we estimated that curfew measures allowed hospitalisations to plateau by decreasing transmission of the historical strains while B.1.1.7 continued to grow. School holidays appear to have further slowed down progression in February. Without progressively strengthened social distancing, a rapid surge of hospitalisations is expected, despite the foreseen increase in vaccination rhythm.

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