Author: Yun-ting He; Hao He; Jing Zhai; Xiao-jin Wang; Bing-shun Wang
Title: Moving-average based index to timely evaluate the current epidemic situation after COVID-19 outbreak Document date: 2020_3_26
ID: bcde0u7u_71
Snippet: It suggests that after the epidemic peak, Hubei Province had to go through a long transition period before entering the final end phase. The local government can plan to restore production of some enterprises, and plan to normalize residents' travel and public transportation after the peak (February 9). After February 17, the government can reduce restriction level and gradually restore urban traffic. In provinces outside Hubei, the EEI of daily .....
Document: It suggests that after the epidemic peak, Hubei Province had to go through a long transition period before entering the final end phase. The local government can plan to restore production of some enterprises, and plan to normalize residents' travel and public transportation after the peak (February 9). After February 17, the government can reduce restriction level and gradually restore urban traffic. In provinces outside Hubei, the EEI of daily new laboratory-confirmed cases experienced two brief increases, one of which was caused by the prison epidemic. The upper limit of the index had been below 1.0 for several consecutive days. The EEI of daily new suspected cases has been below 1.0 since the peak. It indicates that the speed of the epidemic to the end in areas outside Hubei was faster than in Hubei Province. However, resumption of work and return trips may lead to . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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