Author: Fu-Chang Hu; Fang-Yu Wen
Title: The Estimated Time-Varying Reproduction Numbers during the Ongoing Epidemic of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in China Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: nlpeyh5e_20
Snippet: Finally, we urged public health authorities and scientists worldwide to estimate time-varying reproduction numbers routinely during epidemics of infectious diseases and to report them daily on their websites such as the "Tracking the Epidemic" of China CDC for guiding the control strategies and reducing the unnecessary panic of the public until the end of the epidemic. 18 Fitting complex transmission models of infectious disease dynamics to epide.....
Document: Finally, we urged public health authorities and scientists worldwide to estimate time-varying reproduction numbers routinely during epidemics of infectious diseases and to report them daily on their websites such as the "Tracking the Epidemic" of China CDC for guiding the control strategies and reducing the unnecessary panic of the public until the end of the epidemic. 18 Fitting complex transmission models of infectious disease dynamics to epidemic data with limited information about required parameters is a challenge. 3 The results of such analyses may be difficult to generalize due to the context-specific assumptions made and it can be too slow to meet a pressing need during an epidemic. 5,19-22 Thus, an easy-to use tool for monitoring the COVID-19 epidemic is so important in practice.
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