Author: Yun-ting He; Hao He; Jing Zhai; Xiao-jin Wang; Bing-shun Wang
Title: Moving-average based index to timely evaluate the current epidemic situation after COVID-19 outbreak Document date: 2020_3_26
ID: bcde0u7u_83
Snippet: Comparison of different MA curves indicates that the longer the interval, the later the peak appeared. The 14-day MA curve appears to be the most stable curve and the 5-day MA curve is the most unstable one. We can use MA of different time intervals to evaluate trends based on the current public health strategy and the urban traffic situation at different stages. Regardless of the time interval of MA, the peak of the epidemic in provinces outside.....
Document: Comparison of different MA curves indicates that the longer the interval, the later the peak appeared. The 14-day MA curve appears to be the most stable curve and the 5-day MA curve is the most unstable one. We can use MA of different time intervals to evaluate trends based on the current public health strategy and the urban traffic situation at different stages. Regardless of the time interval of MA, the peak of the epidemic in provinces outside Hubei always appears earlier than that in Hubei Province, which is consistent with our conclusion based on 7-day LMA.
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