Author: Jouni T Tuomisto; Juha Yrjölä; Mikko Kolehmainen; Juhani Bonsdorff; Jami Pekkanen; Tero Tikkanen
Title: An agent-based epidemic model REINA for COVID-19 to identify destructive policies Document date: 2020_4_14
ID: 9qdl3jt9_66
Snippet: Sensitivity analyses were performed for three key parameters, namely mobility restrictions that can be implemented (Figure 6) , fraction of asymptomatic patients (Figure 9 ) and the probability of infection given virus contact ( Figure 10) . These parameters had drastic effects on the rate of disease spread and thus model outcomes. Yet, the suppression strategy implementing aggressive testing in combination with contact tracing was never worse an.....
Document: Sensitivity analyses were performed for three key parameters, namely mobility restrictions that can be implemented (Figure 6) , fraction of asymptomatic patients (Figure 9 ) and the probability of infection given virus contact ( Figure 10) . These parameters had drastic effects on the rate of disease spread and thus model outcomes. Yet, the suppression strategy implementing aggressive testing in combination with contact tracing was never worse and often clearly better than the alternative with lazy testing. Suppression with aggressive testing also requires a shorter time with strict mobility restrictions than mitigation. This makes suppression a better choice also in terms of societal and economic impacts, although this study did not attempt to quantify them.
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