Author: Knut M. Wittkowski
Title: The first three months of the COVID-19 epidemic: Epidemiological evidence for two separate strains of SARS-CoV-2 viruses spreading and implications for prevention strategies Document date: 2020_3_31
ID: 2ytec133_84
Snippet: In China and South Korea (and the first wave in Iran), incidence peaked after about 2 weeks and then declined. In Europe it took and in the U.S. it takes twice as long. The shorter duration of the epidemic in China and South Korea, however, does not demonstrate the effectiveness of social distancing, because the social distancing started too late to be effective. The longer duration in Europe is consistent with premature interventions (aiming to .....
Document: In China and South Korea (and the first wave in Iran), incidence peaked after about 2 weeks and then declined. In Europe it took and in the U.S. it takes twice as long. The shorter duration of the epidemic in China and South Korea, however, does not demonstrate the effectiveness of social distancing, because the social distancing started too late to be effective. The longer duration in Europe is consistent with premature interventions (aiming to "flatten the curve") prolonging the epidemic ("broadening the curve").
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