Author: B Shayak; Mohit Manoj Sharma; Richard H Rand; Awadhesh Kumar Singh; Anoop Misra
Title: Transmission Dynamics of COVID-19 and Impact on Public Health Policy Document date: 2020_4_1
ID: 3ueg2i6w_34
Snippet: R3, the flow rate from quarantine to positive, consists of all the people who entered quarantine through R2 a plus a certain fraction, call it μ2, of people who entered anticipatory quarantine as a result of contact tracing. Due to the limited number of testing apparatus and huge queues for these facilities, it is often the case that several days elapse between a patient being admitted and his/her test results being obtained. Thus, quarantine is.....
Document: R3, the flow rate from quarantine to positive, consists of all the people who entered quarantine through R2 a plus a certain fraction, call it μ2, of people who entered anticipatory quarantine as a result of contact tracing. Due to the limited number of testing apparatus and huge queues for these facilities, it is often the case that several days elapse between a patient being admitted and his/her test results being obtained. Thus, quarantine is again a holding stage like exposed sick, with the delay here being some interval τ3. Following the logic of the last paragraph, all rates out of quarantine will be retarded by τ3 just as the rate R2 a out of exposed sick was retarded by τ2. Hence R3 is R2 a retarded by τ3 plus μ2k3xw again retarded by τ3 i.e.
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