Author: Jessica Liebig; Raja Jurdak; Ahmad El Shoghri; Dean Paini
Title: The current state of COVID-19 in Australia: importation and spread Document date: 2020_3_27
ID: 5gnbrnt4_21
Snippet: We predict the number of arrivals into Australia for the year 2020 based on ten years of historical data (January 2010 -December 2019) using a seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model. Arrivals are divided into two groups, Australian citizens/residents and visitors. The predicted passenger flows for 2020 are shown in Figure 5 . The light blue and dark blue bars are our predictions of the number of arriving citizens/residen.....
Document: We predict the number of arrivals into Australia for the year 2020 based on ten years of historical data (January 2010 -December 2019) using a seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model. Arrivals are divided into two groups, Australian citizens/residents and visitors. The predicted passenger flows for 2020 are shown in Figure 5 . The light blue and dark blue bars are our predictions of the number of arriving citizens/residents and visitors, respectively, for the year 2020. The error bars indicate the 95% confidence intervals of the predictions. Black circles show the number of arrivals during 2019.
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