Author: Billy J Quilty; Charlie Diamond; Yang Liu; Hamish Gibbs; Timothy W Russell; Christopher I Jarvis; Kiesha Prem; Carl A B Pearson; Samuel J Clifford; Stefan Flasche; Petra Klepac; Rosalind M Eggo; Mark Jit
Title: The effect of inter-city travel restrictions on geographical spread of COVID-19: Evidence from Wuhan, China Document date: 2020_4_21
ID: 6kiv3qi5_68
Snippet: The observed travel outflow from Wuhan in 2019 and 2020 were matched by the date of the Lunar New Year in 2020 so as to align the Chunyun travel patterns. Each scenario is driven by differences in the parameters used to estimate the total daily number of travellers arriving from Wuhan in a given prefecture-level city. In all scenarios the scaling factor was assumed to be constant at 50,000. Differences between scenarios are summarised in the tabl.....
Document: The observed travel outflow from Wuhan in 2019 and 2020 were matched by the date of the Lunar New Year in 2020 so as to align the Chunyun travel patterns. Each scenario is driven by differences in the parameters used to estimate the total daily number of travellers arriving from Wuhan in a given prefecture-level city. In all scenarios the scaling factor was assumed to be constant at 50,000. Differences between scenarios are summarised in the table and equations below:
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