Selected article for: "herd immunity and steady state"

Author: Wei Aun Yap; Dhesi Baha Raja
Title: Time-variant strategies for optimizing the performance of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) in protecting lives and livelihoods during the COVID-19 pandemic
  • Document date: 2020_4_17
  • ID: 180x1fvb_27
    Snippet: The population is closed and hence there is no chance of infected arrivals into the population. This is an important consideration once interventions are lifted on Day 182 (or earlier for some scenarios) as the population may not yet have achieved herd immunity. As a robustness check, a seeding event was planned for all simulations where there were an insignificant number of infected individuals remaining after interventions ceased and where stea.....
    Document: The population is closed and hence there is no chance of infected arrivals into the population. This is an important consideration once interventions are lifted on Day 182 (or earlier for some scenarios) as the population may not yet have achieved herd immunity. As a robustness check, a seeding event was planned for all simulations where there were an insignificant number of infected individuals remaining after interventions ceased and where steady state without intervention had not been achieved by Day 365. The seeding event would introduce 1000 new infected individuals into the population on Day 366 to observe if an outbreak can be sustained over a further simulated 365 days.

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