Author: Douglas Gunzler; Ashwini R Sehgal
Title: Time-Varying COVID-19 Reproduction Number in the United States Document date: 2020_4_15
ID: crmrqy74_1
Snippet: The basic reproduction number is the average number of people to whom an infected person transmits the infection when virtually all individuals in a population are susceptible. A reproduction number greater than 1.0 means an epidemic is growing while a number less than 1.0 means an epidemic is slowing down and may eventually end. The reproduction number for the novel coronavirus responsible for COVID-19 was estimated to be 2.2 in Hubei Province, .....
Document: The basic reproduction number is the average number of people to whom an infected person transmits the infection when virtually all individuals in a population are susceptible. A reproduction number greater than 1.0 means an epidemic is growing while a number less than 1.0 means an epidemic is slowing down and may eventually end. The reproduction number for the novel coronavirus responsible for COVID-19 was estimated to be 2.2 in Hubei Province, China, based on cases in December 2019 and January 2020.(1) Following one month of social distancing and lockdown, the reproduction number decreased to 1.6.(2) We sought to calculate the current reproduction number for each state in the United States.
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