Selected article for: "baseline model and Washington state"
Author: Steffen E. Eikenberry; Marina Mancuso; Enahoro Iboi; Tin Phan; Keenan Eikenberry; Yang Kuang; Eric Kostelich; Abba B. Gumel
Title: To mask or not to mask: Modeling the potential for face mask use by the general public to curtail the COVID-19 pandemic
  • Document date: 2020_4_11
    • ID: 28utunid_48
    Snippet: Fitting to cumulative death data, we use the baseline model to determine the best fixed β 0 and I(0) for cumulative death data for New York and Washington state. We use New York state data beginning on March 1, 2020, through April 2, 2020, and Washington state data from We fix r and t 0 , as it is not possible to uniquely identify r, t 0 and β min , from death or case data alone (see e.g., [46] on identifiability problems). Figure 5 gives cumul.....
    Document: Fitting to cumulative death data, we use the baseline model to determine the best fixed β 0 and I(0) for cumulative death data for New York and Washington state. We use New York state data beginning on March 1, 2020, through April 2, 2020, and Washington state data from We fix r and t 0 , as it is not possible to uniquely identify r, t 0 and β min , from death or case data alone (see e.g., [46] on identifiability problems). Figure 5 gives cumulative death and case data versus the model predictions for the two states, and for the two choices of β(t). Note that while modeled and actual cumulative deaths match well, model-predicted cases markedly exceed reported cases in the data, consistent with the notion of broad underreporting.

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