Selected article for: "generation time and reproductive number"
Author: M. Pear Hossain; Alvin Junus; Xiaolin Zhu; Pengfei Jia; Tzai-Hung Wen; Dirk Pfeiffer; Hsiang-Yu Yuan
Title: The effects of border control and quarantine measures on global spread of COVID-19
  • Document date: 2020_3_17
    • ID: lwe7whmg_20
    Snippet: Thus, we have a simple formula to predict certain important infection numbers before an outbreak emerges in a 119 specific location using three epidemiological parameters reproductive number, generation time, incubation time 120 and time to disease detection after onset along with a contact matrix. This framework provides a more 121 generalized expression to estimate the cumulative imported cases (first wave of transmission) and the 122 cumulativ.....
    Document: Thus, we have a simple formula to predict certain important infection numbers before an outbreak emerges in a 119 specific location using three epidemiological parameters reproductive number, generation time, incubation time 120 and time to disease detection after onset along with a contact matrix. This framework provides a more 121 generalized expression to estimate the cumulative imported cases (first wave of transmission) and the 122 cumulative secondary infected cases generated by the imported cases (second wave of transmission) at 123 connected cities or locations during a certain period of time when the incidence is exponentially increasing at 124 the source.

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