Author: Huiwen Wang; Yanwen Zhang; Shan Lu; Shanshan Wang
Title: Tracking and forecasting milepost moments of the epidemic in the early-outbreak: framework and applications to the COVID-19 Document date: 2020_3_24
ID: fyh8gjjl_68
Snippet: After that, the second turning point T 2 , which is the time point when the number of infectious cases in hospital N t starts to decline, have also been observed. Fig. 2 shows the true curves of the daily infection rate K t , daily removed rate I t , and N t calculated based on the actual data from mainland China beyond Hubei from Jan 22th, 2020 to Mar 13th, 2020. It can be seen that the second turning point T 2 appeared on Feb 11th, with the eme.....
Document: After that, the second turning point T 2 , which is the time point when the number of infectious cases in hospital N t starts to decline, have also been observed. Fig. 2 shows the true curves of the daily infection rate K t , daily removed rate I t , and N t calculated based on the actual data from mainland China beyond Hubei from Jan 22th, 2020 to Mar 13th, 2020. It can be seen that the second turning point T 2 appeared on Feb 11th, with the emergence of K t < I t on that day, and the number of patients in the hospital continued to decreases since then.
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