Author: Huiwen Wang; Yanwen Zhang; Shan Lu; Shanshan Wang
Title: Tracking and forecasting milepost moments of the epidemic in the early-outbreak: framework and applications to the COVID-19 Document date: 2020_3_24
ID: fyh8gjjl_81
Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint . https: //doi.org/10.1101 //doi.org/10. /2020 Similarly, after the arrival of the second zero point, Figure 4 (c) shows the forecast results of the first and second zero points predicted on Feb 12th, which show the forecast results for Z 1 and Z 2 are on Mar 9th and Mar 25th, respectively. From the fitting results, we know that our prediction of the cumulative number of patients in the hospital N t and the .....
Document: The copyright holder for this preprint . https: //doi.org/10.1101 //doi.org/10. /2020 Similarly, after the arrival of the second zero point, Figure 4 (c) shows the forecast results of the first and second zero points predicted on Feb 12th, which show the forecast results for Z 1 and Z 2 are on Mar 9th and Mar 25th, respectively. From the fitting results, we know that our prediction of the cumulative number of patients in the hospital N t and the total number of confirmed patients is very similar to the actual situation, so our prediction results are highly reliable. Finally, we also give a very recent (Feb 26th) forecast in Figure 4 (d), which is similar to the results mentioned above.
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