Understanding the CoVID-19 pandemic Curve through statistical approach

Ibrar ul Hassan Akhtar

No doubt, epidemic history offers considerable advice, if people knows history and respond with wisdom 7 . Data compiling, sharing and mapping provide real time approach to understand the temporal, spatial patterns and help decision and policy makers, health care specialist and social community like web based dashboard 8 . The Lancet (2020) highlighted that data openness, accuracy, reliability, sharing is of paramount for better response towards global health emergency like CoVID-19 9 . Infectious disease like CoVID-19 encourage a peculiar need to develop effective control plan based on epidemic trends and associated impacts on community 10 . The Casella (2020) explored the daily CoVID-19 pandemic data based draconian and nudge policies from control theory for China, Italy and UK 11 . The CoVID-19 pandemic critical characteristics includes fast unstable dynamics, measurement and actuation delay, uncertainty due to lack of knowledge and virus behaviour, lack of effective vaccines and poor health system response.