Author: TONI MONLEON-GETINO; Jaume Canela-Soler
Title: Next weeks of SARS-CoV-2: Projection model to predict time evolution scenarios of accumulated cases in Spain Document date: 2020_4_14
ID: 9h4pq7up_5
Snippet: The development of the epidemic follows an exponential growth model in accumulated cases until reaching a maximum point. In China seems that a decline in the most recent days is likely to be due to underascertainment of cases with recent onset and delayed identification and reporting rather than a true turning point in incidence [3] . But can we predict when the maximum number of cases will arrive? Some statements by the Chinese health authoritie.....
Document: The development of the epidemic follows an exponential growth model in accumulated cases until reaching a maximum point. In China seems that a decline in the most recent days is likely to be due to underascertainment of cases with recent onset and delayed identification and reporting rather than a true turning point in incidence [3] . But can we predict when the maximum number of cases will arrive? Some statements by the Chinese health authorities indicate that the infections will last until summer, but can we apply any model or project these expectations over time?
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