Author: Yanshuo Wang
Title: Use Crow-AMSAA Method to predict the cases of the Coronavirus 19 in Michigan and U.S.A Document date: 2020_4_8
ID: 8zidekxt_26
Snippet: In U.S.A.: The same study was conducted for U.S.A total confirmed cases [ Fig.7 ]. From the piece-wise Crow-AMSAA plots, there are three phases so far for the U.S.A infectious cases. The 30 first phase (2/15/2020 to 3/12/2020), the CA slope β is 5.138 > 1, and the infectious rate is increasing. The CA slope β of the second phase (3/13/202 to 3/23/2020) is 10.48 > 1, the infectious rate is increasing dramatically. The CA slope β of the third ph.....
Document: In U.S.A.: The same study was conducted for U.S.A total confirmed cases [ Fig.7 ]. From the piece-wise Crow-AMSAA plots, there are three phases so far for the U.S.A infectious cases. The 30 first phase (2/15/2020 to 3/12/2020), the CA slope β is 5.138 > 1, and the infectious rate is increasing. The CA slope β of the second phase (3/13/202 to 3/23/2020) is 10.48 > 1, the infectious rate is increasing dramatically. The CA slope β of the third phase (3/24/2020 to 4/10/2020) is 5.259 >1 where the infectious rate is still increasing. Most of states in U.S.A have issued the staying at home order and social distance requirement, this will help to slow down the 35 transmission speed of the disease.
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