Selected article for: "daily reproduction number and reproduction number"
Author: Yanshuo Wang
Title: Use Crow-AMSAA Method to predict the cases of the Coronavirus 19 in Michigan and U.S.A
  • Document date: 2020_4_8
    • ID: 8zidekxt_24
    Snippet: In Michigan: The Crow-AMSAA method [equation (9) Ln to Ln] is also applied for Michigan 15 cumulative total confirmed cases [ Fig. 5 ]. The time period is from 3/10/2020 to 4/10/2020. So far, there are two piece wise Crow-AMSAA lines can be applied for Michigan cases. From 3/10/2020 to 3/31/2020, the CA slope β is 3.901 >1, and the infectious rate is increasing dramatically. From 4/1/2020 to 4/10/2020, the CA slope β is 2.467 >1, and the infect.....
    Document: In Michigan: The Crow-AMSAA method [equation (9) Ln to Ln] is also applied for Michigan 15 cumulative total confirmed cases [ Fig. 5 ]. The time period is from 3/10/2020 to 4/10/2020. So far, there are two piece wise Crow-AMSAA lines can be applied for Michigan cases. From 3/10/2020 to 3/31/2020, the CA slope β is 3.901 >1, and the infectious rate is increasing dramatically. From 4/1/2020 to 4/10/2020, the CA slope β is 2.467 >1, and the infectious rate is still increasing, though the slope β is slight smaller than the first phase. Since 3/24/2020, 20 Michigan Governor issued the staying home order, the order is absolutely helping the state of Michigan to slow down the spreading of the disease, because the CA slope β is still greater than 1, so the infectious rate is still increasing.

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