Author: Jane Labadin; Boon Hao Hong
Title: Transmission Dynamics of 2019-nCoV in Malaysia Document date: 2020_2_11
ID: 7axgotby_23
Snippet: The 2019-nCoV SEIR model was simulated using the parameters values obtained from trusted sources. The model is found to be accurate as it is able to predict the second confirmed case in Malaysia as reported on February 7 by the MoH [5] . One of the parameters used, namely the incubation period, was actually estimated by [2] based on 88 confirmed cases detected outside of Wuhan, China. Our simulation has managed to verify the proposed incubation p.....
Document: The 2019-nCoV SEIR model was simulated using the parameters values obtained from trusted sources. The model is found to be accurate as it is able to predict the second confirmed case in Malaysia as reported on February 7 by the MoH [5] . One of the parameters used, namely the incubation period, was actually estimated by [2] based on 88 confirmed cases detected outside of Wuhan, China. Our simulation has managed to verify the proposed incubation period of 6.5 days at which according to the MoH report [5] , the second case has developed symptoms on the 1 st February 2020 which is in agreement with the prediction of our model. We have also shown through the simulation the seriousness of the spread of the disease if there is no control measure is taken.
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