Selected article for: "ICC interval and putative index"
Author: Lauren Tindale; Michelle Coombe; Jessica E Stockdale; Emma Garlock; Wing Yin Venus Lau; Manu Saraswat; Yen-Hsiang Brian Lee; Louxin Zhang; Dongxuan Chen; Jacco Wallinga; Caroline Colijn
Title: Transmission interval estimates suggest pre-symptomatic spread of COVID-19
  • Document date: 2020_3_6
    • ID: 66ulqu11_63
    Snippet: We used bootstrapping to explore the range for the point estimates of µ and σ from the mixture model. Figure S1 shows the results. The mean of the bootstrapped mean estimates is 4.26 ± 1.02 for Tianjin and 4.57 ± 0.95 days in Singapore. Bootstrap values are consistent with a serial interval that is considerably shorter than the incubation periods in both datasets. Table S3 shows the sensitivity analysis; we varied the the number of cases per .....
    Document: We used bootstrapping to explore the range for the point estimates of µ and σ from the mixture model. Figure S1 shows the results. The mean of the bootstrapped mean estimates is 4.26 ± 1.02 for Tianjin and 4.57 ± 0.95 days in Singapore. Bootstrap values are consistent with a serial interval that is considerably shorter than the incubation periods in both datasets. Table S3 shows the sensitivity analysis; we varied the the number of cases per cluster to include in the ICC interval data and we explored sorting the cases in the clusters according to the time of last exposure (ie the putative index status assigned to the individual with the earliest end to their exposure window, instead of the first symptomatic individual).

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