Author: Manuel Adrian Acuna-Zegarra; Andreu Comas-Garcia; Esteban Hernandez-Vargas; Mario Santana-Cibrian; Jorge X. Velasco-Hernandez
Title: The SARS-CoV-2 epidemic outbreak: a review of plausible scenarios of containment and mitigation for Mexico Document date: 2020_3_31
ID: aiq6ejcq_78
Snippet: • The policies of containment and mitigation have to be applied quickly, with no hesitation. We observe from our simulations that if the time it takes to obtain the desired contact rate reduction θ increases then the reduction rate of both contact rates, for asymptomatic and symptomatic individuals, flattens the curve but more slowly. We also note that in addition to the reduction in cases, as the time to achieve the contact rate reduction inc.....
Document: • The policies of containment and mitigation have to be applied quickly, with no hesitation. We observe from our simulations that if the time it takes to obtain the desired contact rate reduction θ increases then the reduction rate of both contact rates, for asymptomatic and symptomatic individuals, flattens the curve but more slowly. We also note that in addition to the reduction in cases, as the time to achieve the contact rate reduction increases, the epidemic outbreak starts earlier and is larger.
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