Author: Chen Wei; Zhengyang Wang; Zhichao Liang; Quanying Liu
Title: The focus and timing of COVID-19 pandemic control measures under healthcare resource constraints Document date: 2020_4_19
ID: 5psqro9d_14
Snippet: The utility of isolating suspected cases was evaluated based on its influence on the NPI strength threshold required for successful suppression. The criterion for a successful suppression was to reduce the daily reproduction number to 1 before all beds would have been occupied. As seen in Figure 3A , the threshold for successful suppression clearly defined the resulting number of total infections. The number of total infections exhibited a notice.....
Document: The utility of isolating suspected cases was evaluated based on its influence on the NPI strength threshold required for successful suppression. The criterion for a successful suppression was to reduce the daily reproduction number to 1 before all beds would have been occupied. As seen in Figure 3A , the threshold for successful suppression clearly defined the resulting number of total infections. The number of total infections exhibited a noticeably discontinuous jump around the suppression threshold. While successful suppressions would cause a small percentage (median = 0.46%) of the population to be infected, failed suppressions would lead to much more infections (median = 96.6%).
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