Selected article for: "disease spread and testing capacity"
Author: B Shayak; Mohit Manoj Sharma; Richard H Rand; Awadhesh Kumar Singh; Anoop Misra
Title: Transmission Dynamics of COVID-19 and Impact on Public Health Policy
  • Document date: 2020_4_1
    • ID: 3ueg2i6w_62
    Snippet: • The delays cause the peak of the actual spread of the epidemic to come a few days before the reported peak. • The most effective interval for imposing a limited-duration lockdown is one which straddles the peak of the spread of the disease in society in the absence of the lockdown. • After imposing a lockdown, the trajectory of the number of reported cases may show no outwardly visible change even if the lockdown has been well-timed and h.....
    Document: • The delays cause the peak of the actual spread of the epidemic to come a few days before the reported peak. • The most effective interval for imposing a limited-duration lockdown is one which straddles the peak of the spread of the disease in society in the absence of the lockdown. • After imposing a lockdown, the trajectory of the number of reported cases may show no outwardly visible change even if the lockdown has been well-timed and has significantly slowed the spread of the disease. • Extensive planning to allocate the resources for management of cases, measures like quarantine and social distancing and simultaneously building capacity for innovative approaches to arrange for testing kits should be executed in the initial stages of the epidemic. The required capacities of quarantine and treatment facilities can be estimated early on from the predicted time traces of z (t).

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