Selected article for: "reproduction number and variance mean"
Author: Sangeeta Bhatia; Britta Lassmann; Emily Cohn; Malwina Carrion; Moritz U.G. Kraemer; Mark Herringer; John Brownstein; Larry Madoff; Anne Cori; Pierre Nouvellet
Title: Using Digital Surveillance Tools for Near Real-Time Mapping of the Risk of International Infectious Disease Spread: Ebola as a Case Study
  • Document date: 2019_11_15
    • ID: jwesa12u_93
    Snippet: We assumed a Gamma distributed serial interval with mean 14.2 days and standard deviation 9.6 days [18] . For the reproduction number, we used a Gamma prior with mean 3.3 and variance 1.5. This was informed by a review of estimates of the reproduction number for Ebola Zaire in outbreaks preceding the West African Ebola outbreak which reported estimates ranging from 1.4 to 4.7 [40] . The mean prior 3.3 was chosen as the midpoint of this interval, .....
    Document: We assumed a Gamma distributed serial interval with mean 14.2 days and standard deviation 9.6 days [18] . For the reproduction number, we used a Gamma prior with mean 3.3 and variance 1.5. This was informed by a review of estimates of the reproduction number for Ebola Zaire in outbreaks preceding the West African Ebola outbreak which reported estimates ranging from 1.4 to 4.7 [40] . The mean prior 3.3 was chosen as the midpoint of this interval, and the variance 1.5, was chosen so the 95% prior probability interval contains the extremes of this interval.

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