Author: Pablo M De Salazar; Rene Niehus; Aimee Taylor; Caroline O Buckee; Marc Lipsitch
Title: Using predicted imports of 2019-nCoV cases to determine locations that may not be identifying all imported cases Document date: 2020_2_5
ID: 9fd5a49o_3
Snippet: A novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV has been identified with the first confirmed patient cases in December 2019 in the city of Wuhan, capital of Hubei province, China. Since then the number of confirmed cases has increased drastically. Model estimates suggested that by Jan 25, 2020 there were a total of over 75,000 infected cases with a doubling time of about 6 days 1 . By the end of January 2020, city-wide lockdowns were implemented for Wuhan and neig.....
Document: A novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV has been identified with the first confirmed patient cases in December 2019 in the city of Wuhan, capital of Hubei province, China. Since then the number of confirmed cases has increased drastically. Model estimates suggested that by Jan 25, 2020 there were a total of over 75,000 infected cases with a doubling time of about 6 days 1 . By the end of January 2020, city-wide lockdowns were implemented for Wuhan and neighbouring cities. Nonetheless, the virus has managed to spread from Wuhan to other Chinese cities and also outside of China. As of Feb 4, 2020, cases outside China were being reported in 23 different locations of which 22 locations had imported cases (Spain reported one case but due to secondary transmission) 2 .
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