Author: Markus Mueller; Peter Derlet; Christopher Mudry; Gabriel Aeppli
Title: Using random testing to manage a safe exit from the COVID-19 lockdown Document date: 2020_4_14
ID: loi1vs5y_138
Snippet: If restrictions are over-relaxed, the infection numbers will grow with time. The maximal fraction of currently infected people must never be allowed to rise above the manageable threshold of i c . This means that continuous (random) monitoring of the fraction of infected people is needed, so that given the knowledge from the time before the reboot, about the conditions under which the system can be stabilized, lockdown conditions can always be im.....
Document: If restrictions are over-relaxed, the infection numbers will grow with time. The maximal fraction of currently infected people must never be allowed to rise above the manageable threshold of i c . This means that continuous (random) monitoring of the fraction of infected people is needed, so that given the knowledge from the time before the reboot, about the conditions under which the system can be stabilized, lockdown conditions can always be imposed at a time that is sufficient to prevent reaching the level of i c . Beyond this consideration one may want to keep the expected maximal increase of infection numbers low, which we take as a measure of health costs C H ,
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