Author: CESAR BORDEHORE; Miriam Navarro; Zaida Herrador; Eva S. Fonfria
Title: Understanding COVID-19 spreading through simulation modeling and scenarios comparison: preliminary results. Document date: 2020_4_1
ID: ib0cofa4_121
Snippet: From a basic scenario (R0 at 2.32 before 14 March and at 0.8 after that date), we analyzed the hypothetical action of randomly testing the asymptomatic people, i.e. uninfected and infected (asymptomatic and subclinical) people. In Figure 8 , four scenarios are shown. All four refer to an unrealistic testing period of one day (14 March) when 5, 10, 20 and 30 million tests would be done. A positive test implies that a person goes into quarantine an.....
Document: From a basic scenario (R0 at 2.32 before 14 March and at 0.8 after that date), we analyzed the hypothetical action of randomly testing the asymptomatic people, i.e. uninfected and infected (asymptomatic and subclinical) people. In Figure 8 , four scenarios are shown. All four refer to an unrealistic testing period of one day (14 March) when 5, 10, 20 and 30 million tests would be done. A positive test implies that a person goes into quarantine and hence, without any possibility to infect other people. All scenarios with a R0 of 2.32 before 14 March, and of 0.8 afterwards. We hypothesized that if massive testing had been performed, R0 would have been kept at 0.8.
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