Author: Juri Dimaschko; Victor Podolsky
Title: VIRAL MUTATIONS AS A POSSIBLE MECHANISM OF HIDDEN IMMUNIZATION AND CONTAINMENT OF A PANDEMIA Document date: 2020_4_14
ID: fukn227t_65
Snippet: It is clearly seen that after the first 2 weeks of the epidemic, the growth in the number of sick people slowed noticeably compared to the SIMR model with a constant value of β. It is natural to consider this as a consequence of the restrictive measures taken, leading to the decrease of β. A comparison of the theoretical and observed dependences I(t) shows a noticeable lag of the latter by about 14 days. This indicates a later onset of the peak.....
Document: It is clearly seen that after the first 2 weeks of the epidemic, the growth in the number of sick people slowed noticeably compared to the SIMR model with a constant value of β. It is natural to consider this as a consequence of the restrictive measures taken, leading to the decrease of β. A comparison of the theoretical and observed dependences I(t) shows a noticeable lag of the latter by about 14 days. This indicates a later onset of the peak compared with the case of constant β, and the delay scale has already been determined, although it may slightly increase. Further, it is natural to assume that restrictive measures can only reduce the height of the maximum I(t), which for the theoretical curve is at the level of 120 thousand.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- constant β case and later onset: 1, 2, 3
- constant β case and maximum height: 1, 2, 3
- constant β case and maximum height reduce: 1, 2, 3
- constant β case and noticeable lag: 1, 2
- constant β case and peak later onset: 1, 2, 3
- constant β case and slightly increase: 1, 2, 3
- constant β case and theoretical comparison: 1, 2, 3
- constant β case and theoretical curve: 1, 2, 3
- constant value and β constant value: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
- constant value and β constant value simr model: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
- constant value and β decrease: 1, 2, 3, 4
- constant value and sick people: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
- constant value and sick people number: 1, 2, 3, 4
- constant value and sick people number growth: 1, 2, 3
- constant value and simr model: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
- delay scale and later onset: 1, 2, 3
- delay scale and maximum height: 1, 2, 3
- delay scale and maximum height reduce: 1, 2, 3
- delay scale and noticeable lag: 1, 2
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date