Selected article for: "sick people and SIMR model"
Author: Juri Dimaschko; Victor Podolsky
Title: VIRAL MUTATIONS AS A POSSIBLE MECHANISM OF HIDDEN IMMUNIZATION AND CONTAINMENT OF A PANDEMIA
  • Document date: 2020_4_14
    • ID: fukn227t_65
    Snippet: It is clearly seen that after the first 2 weeks of the epidemic, the growth in the number of sick people slowed noticeably compared to the SIMR model with a constant value of β. It is natural to consider this as a consequence of the restrictive measures taken, leading to the decrease of β. A comparison of the theoretical and observed dependences I(t) shows a noticeable lag of the latter by about 14 days. This indicates a later onset of the peak.....
    Document: It is clearly seen that after the first 2 weeks of the epidemic, the growth in the number of sick people slowed noticeably compared to the SIMR model with a constant value of β. It is natural to consider this as a consequence of the restrictive measures taken, leading to the decrease of β. A comparison of the theoretical and observed dependences I(t) shows a noticeable lag of the latter by about 14 days. This indicates a later onset of the peak compared with the case of constant β, and the delay scale has already been determined, although it may slightly increase. Further, it is natural to assume that restrictive measures can only reduce the height of the maximum I(t), which for the theoretical curve is at the level of 120 thousand.

    Search related documents:
    Co phrase search for related documents
    • constant β case and theoretical comparison: 1, 2, 3
    • constant β case and theoretical curve: 1, 2, 3
    • delay scale and slightly increase: 1, 2, 3
    • delay scale and theoretical comparison: 1, 2, 3
    • delay scale and theoretical curve: 1, 2, 3
    • later onset and slightly increase: 1, 2, 3
    • later onset and theoretical comparison: 1, 2, 3
    • later onset and theoretical curve: 1, 2, 3
    • maximum height and slightly increase: 1, 2, 3
    • maximum height and theoretical comparison: 1, 2, 3
    • maximum height and theoretical curve: 1, 2, 3
    • maximum height reduce and slightly increase: 1, 2, 3
    • maximum height reduce and theoretical comparison: 1, 2, 3
    • maximum height reduce and theoretical curve: 1, 2, 3
    • noticeable lag and slightly increase: 1, 2
    • noticeable lag and theoretical comparison: 1, 2
    • noticeable lag and theoretical curve: 1, 2
    • peak later onset and theoretical comparison: 1, 2, 3
    • peak later onset and theoretical curve: 1, 2, 3