Author: Anzarut, Michelle; Gonz'alez, Luis Felipe; Mendiz'abal, Sonia; Ortiz, Mar'ia Teresa
Title: Estimating COVID-19 cases and reproduction number in Mexico Cord-id: 7msw3od4 Document date: 2020_7_17
ID: 7msw3od4
Snippet: In this report we fit a semi-mechanistic Bayesian hierarchical model to describe the Mexican COVID-19 epidemic. We obtain two epidemiological measures: the number of infections and the reproduction number. Estimations are based on death data. Hence, we expect our estimates to be more accurate than the attack rates estimated from the reported number of cases.
Document: In this report we fit a semi-mechanistic Bayesian hierarchical model to describe the Mexican COVID-19 epidemic. We obtain two epidemiological measures: the number of infections and the reproduction number. Estimations are based on death data. Hence, we expect our estimates to be more accurate than the attack rates estimated from the reported number of cases.
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