Author: Toshihisa Tomie
Title: Understanding the present status and forecasting of COVID?19 in Wuhan Document date: 2020_2_14
ID: lmoekp1m_16
Snippet: In the case of JpnInf2019 shown in Fig. 2 , at the skirt part, the epidemic behavior changed from a Gaussian to exponential decay. Therefore, except in Wuhan city, around February 20 the number of newly infected people will be further reduced to 1/e. If the present trend does not change, the number of new infections is likely to be negligibly small by the end of February......
Document: In the case of JpnInf2019 shown in Fig. 2 , at the skirt part, the epidemic behavior changed from a Gaussian to exponential decay. Therefore, except in Wuhan city, around February 20 the number of newly infected people will be further reduced to 1/e. If the present trend does not change, the number of new infections is likely to be negligibly small by the end of February.
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