Author: Oscar Patterson-Lomba
Title: Optimal timing for social distancing during an epidemic Document date: 2020_4_1
ID: cm91jxde_35
Snippet: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.20048132 doi: medRxiv preprint the social distancing should start later compared to a social distancing strategy aimed at flattening the epidemic. This is indeed the case for large t I ; however, for low values of t I , the optimal time to minimize final size is shorter compared to a strategy aimed at flattening the epidemic. Optimal t.....
Document: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.20048132 doi: medRxiv preprint the social distancing should start later compared to a social distancing strategy aimed at flattening the epidemic. This is indeed the case for large t I ; however, for low values of t I , the optimal time to minimize final size is shorter compared to a strategy aimed at flattening the epidemic. Optimal timing for social distancing vs t I for the three different types of optimal timing investigated, and corresponding to R 0 = 2. With γ = 1/10, T = 30, r = 0.55, I(0) = 0.01%. Note that the curves for "maximum peak delay" and "maximum peak reduction" are overlaid.
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