Author: Pottier, L.
Title: Forecast of the covid19 epidemic in France Cord-id: 9jzsckj0 Document date: 2021_4_20
ID: 9jzsckj0
Snippet: With a mathematical method based on linear algebra, from open access data (data.gouv.fr, google, apple) we produce forecasts for the number of patients in intensive care in France with an average error of 4% at 7 days, 7% at 14 days, 8% at 21 days, 10% at one month, 17% at 2 months, and 31% at 3 months. For the other epidemic indicators, the error is on average 6% at 7 days and 25% at 2 months.
Document: With a mathematical method based on linear algebra, from open access data (data.gouv.fr, google, apple) we produce forecasts for the number of patients in intensive care in France with an average error of 4% at 7 days, 7% at 14 days, 8% at 21 days, 10% at one month, 17% at 2 months, and 31% at 3 months. For the other epidemic indicators, the error is on average 6% at 7 days and 25% at 2 months.
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