Author: Huiwen Wang; Yanwen Zhang; Shan Lu; Shanshan Wang
Title: Tracking and forecasting milepost moments of the epidemic in the early-outbreak: framework and applications to the COVID-19 Document date: 2020_3_24
ID: fyh8gjjl_14
Snippet: There are several requirements for the monitoring indicators. Firstly, the scale of the data should be eliminated so that the analysis methods and results are comparable across regions. Secondly, they can well reflect the general laws and characteristics of the epidemic process as well as accurately and coherently describe the entire process of the epidemic from the begin to the end. Especially, they should be able to answer the question of when .....
Document: There are several requirements for the monitoring indicators. Firstly, the scale of the data should be eliminated so that the analysis methods and results are comparable across regions. Secondly, they can well reflect the general laws and characteristics of the epidemic process as well as accurately and coherently describe the entire process of the epidemic from the begin to the end. Especially, they should be able to answer the question of when the turning point of the epidemic would appear. Thirdly, they should be as simple and convenient as possible so that it can be applied with publicly available data. Last but not the least, the indicators should have clear meaning and good interpretability.
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