Author: Huiwen Wang; Yanwen Zhang; Shan Lu; Shanshan Wang
Title: Tracking and forecasting milepost moments of the epidemic in the early-outbreak: framework and applications to the COVID-19 Document date: 2020_3_24
ID: fyh8gjjl_32
Snippet: In this section, we will describe the whole process of a epidemic under assumption that the government has implemented effective control measures, which can be divided into four stages, i.e. "outbreak period", "controlled period", "mitigation period" and "convergence period" successively. And we will quantify the iconic features for each stage, which corresponds to the two turning points and two "zero" points, respectively......
Document: In this section, we will describe the whole process of a epidemic under assumption that the government has implemented effective control measures, which can be divided into four stages, i.e. "outbreak period", "controlled period", "mitigation period" and "convergence period" successively. And we will quantify the iconic features for each stage, which corresponds to the two turning points and two "zero" points, respectively.
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