Author: Huiwen Wang; Yanwen Zhang; Shan Lu; Shanshan Wang
Title: Tracking and forecasting milepost moments of the epidemic in the early-outbreak: framework and applications to the COVID-19 Document date: 2020_3_24
ID: fyh8gjjl_35
Snippet: Thus the daily infection rate K t would be high. At the same time, the healing process in the initial stage is relatively long, and the number of severe patients is small, leading the daily removed rate I t to be close to zero. Therefore, the outbreak status indicator R t during this period is usually much larger than 1, that is:.....
Document: Thus the daily infection rate K t would be high. At the same time, the healing process in the initial stage is relatively long, and the number of severe patients is small, leading the daily removed rate I t to be close to zero. Therefore, the outbreak status indicator R t during this period is usually much larger than 1, that is:
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