Author: Guenter K.F. Baerwolff
Title: A Contribution to the Mathematical Modeling of the Corona/COVID-19 Pandemic Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: 69wk591l_46
Snippet: The results are pessimistic in total with respect to a successful fight against the COVID-19-virus. Hopefully the reality is a bit more merciful than the mathematical model. But we rather err on the pessimistic side and be surprised by more benign developments. Note again that the parameters β and κ are guessed very roughly. Also, the percentage α of the group of high-risk people is possibly overestimated. Depending on the capabilities and per.....
Document: The results are pessimistic in total with respect to a successful fight against the COVID-19-virus. Hopefully the reality is a bit more merciful than the mathematical model. But we rather err on the pessimistic side and be surprised by more benign developments. Note again that the parameters β and κ are guessed very roughly. Also, the percentage α of the group of high-risk people is possibly overestimated. Depending on the capabilities and performance of the health system of the respective countries, those parameters may look different. The interpretation of κ as a random variable is thinkable, too. [4] G. Bärwolff, Numerics for engineers, physicists and computer scientists (3rd ed., in German). Springer-Spektrum 2020.
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