Author: Jouni T Tuomisto; Juha Yrjölä; Mikko Kolehmainen; Juhani Bonsdorff; Jami Pekkanen; Tero Tikkanen
Title: An agent-based epidemic model REINA for COVID-19 to identify destructive policies Document date: 2020_4_14
ID: 9qdl3jt9_56
Snippet: The REINA model predicts that the suppression strategy results in a lower number of fatalities and severe cases than the mitigation strategy. Aggressive combined testing and tracing of contacts is superior to lazy testing for a wide range of mobility restrictions and also in sensitivity analyses. The difference may be tenfold or even higher. The suppression strategy has been successfully implemented in practice in China (with a delay), South Kore.....
Document: The REINA model predicts that the suppression strategy results in a lower number of fatalities and severe cases than the mitigation strategy. Aggressive combined testing and tracing of contacts is superior to lazy testing for a wide range of mobility restrictions and also in sensitivity analyses. The difference may be tenfold or even higher. The suppression strategy has been successfully implemented in practice in China (with a delay), South Korea, Singapore, and Taiwan, thus weakening the argument that it would be infeasible. Suppression has been seen better than mitigation also in previous studies (Maharaj, 2012) .
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