Author: Juri Dimaschko; Victor Podolsky
Title: VIRAL MUTATIONS AS A POSSIBLE MECHANISM OF HIDDEN IMMUNIZATION AND CONTAINMENT OF A PANDEMIA Document date: 2020_4_14
ID: fukn227t_7
Snippet: In the first part we review the commonly accepted SIR epidemiological model [1] . We argue that the SIRbased estimates of the peak values of the infected population and epidemic duration can hardly be supported by COVID-19 data for a number of countries. We attribute this fact to the SIR model overlooking the impact of the virus mutability on the epidemic, whereas the fact of rapid mutations is now reliably established [2]......
Document: In the first part we review the commonly accepted SIR epidemiological model [1] . We argue that the SIRbased estimates of the peak values of the infected population and epidemic duration can hardly be supported by COVID-19 data for a number of countries. We attribute this fact to the SIR model overlooking the impact of the virus mutability on the epidemic, whereas the fact of rapid mutations is now reliably established [2].
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