Author: Steffen E. Eikenberry; Marina Mancuso; Enahoro Iboi; Tin Phan; Keenan Eikenberry; Yang Kuang; Eric Kostelich; Abba B. Gumel
Title: To mask or not to mask: Modeling the potential for face mask use by the general public to curtail the COVID-19 pandemic Document date: 2020_4_11
ID: 28utunid_58
Snippet: Under simulated epidemics, the effectiveness of face masks in altering the epidemiologic outcomes of peak hospitalization and total deaths is a highly nonlinear function of both mask efficacy and coverage in the population (see Figure 1) , with the product of mask efficacy and coverage a good one-dimensional surrogate for the effect. We have determined how mask use in the full model alters the equivalent β 0 , denotedβ 0 , under baseline model .....
Document: Under simulated epidemics, the effectiveness of face masks in altering the epidemiologic outcomes of peak hospitalization and total deaths is a highly nonlinear function of both mask efficacy and coverage in the population (see Figure 1) , with the product of mask efficacy and coverage a good one-dimensional surrogate for the effect. We have determined how mask use in the full model alters the equivalent β 0 , denotedβ 0 , under baseline model (without masks), finding this equivalentβ 0 to vary nearly linearly with efficacy × coverage ( Figure 2 ).
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