Author: Lucia Russo; Cleo Anastassopoulou; Athanassios Tsakris; Gennaro Nicola Bifulco; Emilio Fortunato Campana; Gerardo Toraldo; Constantinos Siettos
Title: Tracing DAY-ZERO and Forecasting the Fade out of the COVID-19 Outbreak in Lombardy, Italy: A Compartmental Modelling and Numerical Optimization Approach. Document date: 2020_3_20
ID: fuqtwn5a_5
Snippet: We address a compartmental SEIRD model that includes two categories of infected cases, namely the confirmed/reported and the unreported (unknown) cases in the total population. Based on observations and studies, our modelling 70 hypothesis is that the confirmed cases of infected are only a (small) subset of the actual number of infected cases in the total population [6, 14, 7] . Regarding the confirmed cases of infected as of February 11, a study.....
Document: We address a compartmental SEIRD model that includes two categories of infected cases, namely the confirmed/reported and the unreported (unknown) cases in the total population. Based on observations and studies, our modelling 70 hypothesis is that the confirmed cases of infected are only a (small) subset of the actual number of infected cases in the total population [6, 14, 7] . Regarding the confirmed cases of infected as of February 11, a study conducted by the Chinese longer than the non-confirmed, they may also be hospitalized and die from the 80 disease.
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