Author: Huiwen Wang; Yanwen Zhang; Shan Lu; Shanshan Wang
Title: Tracking and forecasting milepost moments of the epidemic in the early-outbreak: framework and applications to the COVID-19 Document date: 2020_3_24
ID: fyh8gjjl_71
Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint . cases is equal to zero, which is too strict for the real situation Thus, in this article, we take the criteria for cancelling travel warnings developed by the WTO during SARS as a reference, and make some adjustments to the definition of the first zero point: the time when the daily confirmed cases E t continues to be less than 5 for 3 days is revised to be Z 1 . Then, if we exclude confirmed cases that or.....
Document: The copyright holder for this preprint . cases is equal to zero, which is too strict for the real situation Thus, in this article, we take the criteria for cancelling travel warnings developed by the WTO during SARS as a reference, and make some adjustments to the definition of the first zero point: the time when the daily confirmed cases E t continues to be less than 5 for 3 days is revised to be Z 1 . Then, if we exclude confirmed cases that originated from abroad, daily confirmed cases has already become less than 5 since Mar 3rd in mainland China beyond Hubei Province, thus according to our revised definition, Mar 5th is Z 1 .
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