Author: Peter X Song; Lili Wang; Yiwang Zhou; Jie He; Bin Zhu; Fei Wang; Lu Tang; Marisa Eisenberg
Title: An epidemiological forecast model and software assessing interventions on COVID-19 epidemic in China Document date: 2020_3_3
ID: m9icky9z_1
Snippet: The outbreak of the coronavirus disease or COVID-19, originated in Wuhan, the capital city of Hubei province, spreads out quickly in Hubei and then in China, South Korea, Japan, Iran and Italy, as well as many other cities across the world. Being one of the great epidemics in the 21st century, till February 25, 2020, in China it has caused a total of 78,195 confirmed infections, 2,718 deaths and 30,078 recovered cases, and 2,491 suspected cases s.....
Document: The outbreak of the coronavirus disease or COVID-19, originated in Wuhan, the capital city of Hubei province, spreads out quickly in Hubei and then in China, South Korea, Japan, Iran and Italy, as well as many other cities across the world. Being one of the great epidemics in the 21st century, till February 25, 2020, in China it has caused a total of 78,195 confirmed infections, 2,718 deaths and 30,078 recovered cases, and 2,491 suspected cases still remained to be tested. Since the outbreak of the epidemic, many clinical papers [15, 3, 37, 38, 12, 6, 20, 5, 11, 8, 7, 28, 10, 42, 34] have been published to unveil limited but important knowledge of COVID-19, including that (i) COVID-19 is an infectious disease caused by SARS-CoV-2, a virus closely related to the SARS series of pY I t , Y R t q J follows a state-space model with the beta distributions at time t:
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